Fed Decision in September?

Most likely right now
No change
3.065%
EconomyVol $2.1MTotal volume $50.7MLiquidity $3.0Min 22 days (Sep 16)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
No change
64.5%
3.0
25 bps increase
33.5%
2.0
25 bps decrease
1.20%
50+ bps increase
0.35%
50+ bps decrease
0.25%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.