2nd richest person on December 31?
Polymarket traders put "Larry Page" at 68.0% on "2nd richest person on December 31?". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
Larry Page
▲1.068%
EconomyVol -Total volume $46KLiquidity $3.7KComments 1in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Larry Page
68.0%
▲1.0
Sergey Brin
30.3%
▲0.8
Jeff Bezos
25.7%
▼0.9
Warren Buffett
22.9%
–
Steve Ballmer
22.6%
▼2.4
Jensen Huang
22.2%
▼2.5
Bernard Arnault
21.8%
–
Mark Zuckerberg
10.0%
–
Larry Ellison
9.70%
–
Elon Musk
5.40%
–
Probability over time
Larry Page
Sergey Brin
Jeff Bezos
Warren Buffett
Steve Ballmer
Jensen Huang
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
