2nd richest person on December 31?
Polymarket traders put "Larry Page" at 56.0% on "2nd richest person on December 31?". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 3.
Most likely right now
Larry Page
▼2.556%
EconomyVol -Total volume $48KLiquidity $3.5KComments 1in 3 months (Jan 3)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Larry Page
56.0%
▼2.5
Sergey Brin
33.8%
▲0.7
Michael Dell
33.5%
▲0.5
Jensen Huang
24.5%
–
Steve Ballmer
23.3%
▼1.8
Warren Buffett
22.0%
–
Bernard Arnault
11.7%
–
Mark Zuckerberg
10.1%
–
Jeff Bezos
4.15%
▼3.6
Larry Ellison
2.70%
–
Elon Musk
2.25%
▼1.4
Probability over time
Larry Page
Sergey Brin
Michael Dell
Jensen Huang
Steve Ballmer
Warren Buffett
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
