#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?

Polymarket traders put "OpenAI" at 50.5% on "#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?". $15K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 12 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 27.

Most likely right now
OpenAI
–51%
TechVol $15KTotal volume $15KLiquidity $9.3Kin 8 days (Oct 27)
Current probability

Oct 20 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
OpenAI
50.5%
–
Google
42.5%
–
Xiaomi
0.55%
–
DeepSeek
0.50%
–
MiniMax
0.50%
–
Meta
0.50%
–
Qwen
0.45%
–
Tencent
0.15%
–
Z.ai
0.05%
–
Nvidia
0.05%
–
Anthropic
0.05%
–
xAI
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.