3rd richest person on December 31?
Polymarket traders put "Jeff Bezos" at 41.9% on "3rd richest person on December 31?". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 3.
Most likely right now
Jeff Bezos
–42%
EconomyVol -Total volume $28KLiquidity $2.0KComments 2in 3 months (Jan 3)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Jeff Bezos
41.9%
–
Warren Buffett
40.4%
▲30.0
Jensen Huang
25.7%
▼17.3
Sergey Brin
24.0%
▲15.0
Elon Musk
21.7%
▼0.7
Mark Zuckerberg
21.3%
▼11.5
Steve Ballmer
17.6%
–
Bernard Arnault
13.7%
–
Larry Page
5.35%
–
Michael Dell
0.30%
–
Larry Ellison
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Jeff Bezos
Warren Buffett
Jensen Huang
Sergey Brin
Elon Musk
Mark Zuckerberg
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
