Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Polymarket traders put "$200M" at 3.6% on "Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?". Down 0.9%p from yesterday. $7.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
$200M
▼0.94%
CryptoVol $7.7KTotal volume $559KLiquidity $220KComments 16in 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
$200M
3.65%
▼0.9
$1B
3.55%
▲1.5
$3B
3.55%
▲1.6
$1.5B
3.50%
▲1.4
$600M
3.10%
–
$400M
2.20%
–
$2.5B
2.10%
–
$800M
1.90%
–
$2B
1.55%
–

Probability over time

$200M
$1B
$3B
$1.5B
$600M
$400M
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.