Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?" at 2.5%. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
–2%
CryptoVol -Total volume $23KLiquidity $6.3Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
2.45%
–
Probability over time
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
