Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?" at 2.9%. Unchanged from yesterday. $38 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
–3%
CryptoVol $38Total volume $23KLiquidity $5.7Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
2.95%
–
Probability over time
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
