Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Polymarket traders put "Another US debt downgrade before 2027?" at 8.5%. Down 0.5%p from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
▼0.59%
EconomyVol -Total volume $14KLiquidity $341in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
8.50%
▼0.5

Probability over time

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.