Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Most likely right now
$500M
0.570%
CryptoVol $148Total volume $49KLiquidity $54KComments 1in 1.4 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
$500M
69.5%
0.5
$800M
69.0%
0.5
$1B
63.0%
$2B
54.5%
$3B
39.5%
$6B
33.0%
1.5
$4B
32.5%
5.5
$5B
29.5%
5.0
$8B
24.5%
2.0
$9B
9.50%
18.0
$15B
7.50%
26.0
$10B
4.30%
$20B
0.90%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.