Bank of Brazil Decision in January?

Polymarket traders put "50+ bps increase" at 44.0% on "Bank of Brazil Decision in January?". $272 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 27.

Most likely right now
50+ bps increase
–44%
EconomyVol $272Total volume $272Liquidity $598in 3 months (Jan 27)
Current probability

Oct 31 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
50+ bps increase
44.0%
–
50+ bps decrease
42.5%
–
25 bps decrease
32.5%
–
No Change
32.5%
–
25 bps increase
9.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.