Bank of England decision in December?

Polymarket traders put "No change" at 58.5% on "Bank of England decision in December?". $4.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 17.

Most likely right now
No change
–59%
EconomyVol $4.8KTotal volume $4.8KLiquidity $3.3Kin 2 months (Dec 17)
Current probability

Oct 16 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
No change
58.5%
–
25 bps increase
32.0%
–
50+ bps increase
5.50%
–
50+ bps decrease
4.25%
–
25 bps decrease
3.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.