Bank of Japan Decision in December?
Polymarket traders put "25 bps increase" at 84.5% on "Bank of Japan Decision in December?". $182 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 18.
Most likely right now
25 bps increase
–85%
EconomyVol $182Total volume $32KLiquidity $18Kin 1 months (Dec 18)
Current probability
Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
25 bps increase
84.5%
–
No change
14.0%
▲1.0
50+ bps increase
2.40%
–
25 bps decrease
1.45%
–
50+ bps decrease
1.30%
–
Probability over time
25 bps increase
No change
50+ bps increase
25 bps decrease
50+ bps decrease
2026-09-19 ~ 2026-11-04 · y-axis %
