Bank of Russia decision in December?

Polymarket traders put "25 bps decrease" at 36.5% on "Bank of Russia decision in December?". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. $2.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 18.

Most likely right now
25 bps decrease
2.037%
EconomyVol $2.4KTotal volume $2.4KLiquidity $2.3Kin 3 months (Dec 18)
Current probability

Sep 16 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
25 bps decrease
36.5%
2.0
No change
33.0%
0.5
50+ bps decrease
20.5%
25 bps increase
7.50%
21.0
50+ bps increase
7.00%
9.0

Probability over time

25 bps decrease
No change
50+ bps decrease
25 bps increase
50+ bps increase
02550751009/159/16
2026-09-15 ~ 2026-09-16 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.