Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Polymarket traders put "$500M" at 45.0% on "Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?". Up 6.0%p from yesterday. $813 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
$500M
▲6.045%
CryptoVol $813Total volume $858KLiquidity $189KComments 25in 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
$500M
45.0%
▲6.0
$2B
41.0%
▲5.5
$1B
40.5%
–
$4B
36.0%
▲0.5
$3B
36.0%
–
$5B
32.5%
–
$6B
29.5%
–
$10B
15.5%
–
$8B
14.5%
–
$12B
14.0%
▲2.5
Probability over time
$500M
$2B
$1B
$4B
$3B
$5B
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
