Bitcoin above ___ on November 20?
Polymarket traders put "58,000" at 87.4% on "Bitcoin above ___ on November 20?". Down 11.3%p from yesterday. $95K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 20.
Most likely right now
58,000
▼11.387%
CryptoVol $95KTotal volume $101KLiquidity $440Kin 6 days (Nov 20)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
58,000
87.4%
▼11.3
60,000
79.8%
▼18.0
62,000
68.8%
▼26.2
64,000
52.0%
▼37.0
66,000
35.5%
▼40.0
68,000
22.0%
▼31.5
70,000
9.50%
▼22.0
72,000
5.50%
▼9.0
74,000
2.50%
▼3.0
76,000
1.10%
▼1.0
78,000
0.85%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.