Bitcoin above ___ on October 20?

Polymarket traders put "74,000" at 98.0% on "Bitcoin above ___ on October 20?". $1.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 20.

Most likely right now
74,000
–98%
CryptoVol $1.7KTotal volume $1.7KLiquidity $138Kin 7 days (Oct 20)
Current probability

Oct 14 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
74,000
98.0%
–
76,000
96.3%
–
78,000
92.0%
–
80,000
82.0%
–
82,000
63.5%
–
84,000
40.5%
–
86,000
21.5%
–
88,000
10.0%
–
90,000
4.70%
–
92,000
2.35%
–
94,000
1.15%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.