Bitcoin above ___ on October 9, 8PM ET?

Polymarket traders put "80,600" at 99.9% on "Bitcoin above ___ on October 9, 8PM ET?". $180 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 16 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 10.

Most likely right now
80,600
–100%
CryptoVol $180Total volume $180Liquidity $1.7KClosed (Oct 10)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
80,600
99.9%
–
81,000
99.0%
–
80,800
99.0%
–
81,400
98.5%
–
81,200
98.5%
–
82,400
98.5%
–
83,600
2.25%
–
83,400
2.25%
–
83,800
2.00%
–
84,000
1.50%
–
82,800
1.05%
–
84,400
1.00%
–
84,200
1.00%
–
83,200
1.00%
–
83,000
1.00%
–
84,600
0.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.