Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?

Polymarket traders put "70,000" at 98.5% on "Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?". $11K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 11.

Most likely right now
70,000
99%
CryptoVol $11KTotal volume $11KLiquidity $140Kin 7 days (Sep 11)
Current probability

Sep 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
70,000
98.5%
72,000
97.5%
74,000
94.8%
76,000
86.8%
78,000
68.5%
80,000
45.0%
82,000
24.0%
84,000
11.0%
86,000
5.00%
88,000
1.65%
90,000
1.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.