Bitcoin above ___ on September 5?

Polymarket traders put "68,000" at 99.3% on "Bitcoin above ___ on September 5?". Up 1.4%p from yesterday. $26K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 5.

Most likely right now
68,000
1.499%
CryptoVol $26KTotal volume $91KLiquidity $270Kin 4 days (Sep 5)
Current probability

Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
68,000
99.3%
1.4
70,000
99.1%
1.3
72,000
98.0%
1.0
74,000
94.5%
2.9
76,000
84.5%
8.5
78,000
62.0%
12.5
80,000
33.5%
8.5
82,000
14.5%
3.0
84,000
5.55%
0.5
86,000
2.65%
0.5
88,000
0.85%
1.1

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.