Bitcoin above ___ on September 4?
Polymarket traders put "68,000" at 99.5% on "Bitcoin above ___ on September 4?". Up 0.8%p from yesterday. $31K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 4.
Most likely right now
68,000
▲0.899%
CryptoVol $31KTotal volume $167KLiquidity $269Kin 3 days (Sep 4)
Current probability
Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
68,000
99.5%
▲0.8
70,000
98.9%
▲1.3
72,000
98.1%
▲1.7
74,000
95.5%
▲3.5
76,000
87.5%
▲9.5
78,000
63.0%
▲13.0
80,000
33.0%
▲9.5
82,000
14.0%
▲3.5
84,000
5.20%
▲1.2
86,000
2.30%
–
88,000
1.25%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
