Bitcoin above ___ on September 6?

Polymarket traders put "68,000" at 99.3% on "Bitcoin above ___ on September 6?". Up 1.4%p from yesterday. $27K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 6.

Most likely right now
68,000
1.499%
CryptoVol $27KTotal volume $32KLiquidity $243Kin 5 days (Sep 6)
Current probability

Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
68,000
99.3%
1.4
70,000
98.6%
1.1
72,000
97.8%
2.6
74,000
94.5%
4.5
76,000
83.5%
8.5
78,000
61.0%
11.0
80,000
34.5%
7.5
82,000
16.5%
5.0
84,000
6.55%
1.1
86,000
2.75%
88,000
1.60%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.