Bitcoin price on October 1?

Polymarket traders put "84,000-86,000" at 21.5% on "Bitcoin price on October 1?". $2.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 1.

Most likely right now
84,000-86,000
–22%
CryptoVol $2.3KTotal volume $2.3KLiquidity $69Kin 7 days (Oct 1)
Current probability

Sep 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
84,000-86,000
21.5%
–
82,000-84,000
20.0%
–
86,000-88,000
15.5%
–
80,000-82,000
14.0%
–
88,000-90,000
10.0%
–
78,000-80,000
7.50%
–
90,000-92,000
5.00%
–
76,000-78,000
3.85%
–
92,000-94,000
2.95%
–
<76,000
2.65%
–
>94,000
2.35%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.