Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
Most likely right now
S&P 500
▼4.054%
EconomyVol $306Total volume $898KLiquidity $77KComments 22in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
S&P 500
54.0%
▼4.0
Gold
27.5%
▲2.0
Bitcoin
16.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
