Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
Polymarket traders put "S&P 500" at 67.0% on "Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $301 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
S&P 500
▲1.567%
EconomyVol $301Total volume $941KLiquidity $107KComments 22in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
S&P 500
67.0%
▲1.5
Bitcoin
21.5%
▼0.5
Gold
9.00%
▼2.0
Probability over time
S&P 500
Bitcoin
Gold
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
