China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?
Polymarket traders put "4.3-4.6%" at 36.0% on "China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?". $3.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Feb 1.
Most likely right now
4.3-4.6%
–36%
EconomyVol $3.9KTotal volume $3.9KLiquidity $3.6Kin 3 months (Feb 1)
Current probability
Oct 21 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
4.3-4.6%
36.0%
–
4.0-4.3%
22.5%
–
4.6-4.9%
21.5%
–
4.9-5.2%
14.5%
–
5.2-5.5%
6.45%
–
5.5%+
5.45%
–
3.4-3.7%
5.05%
–
3.7-4.0%
3.50%
–
<3.4%
2.45%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
