Core PCE YoY - August 2026

Polymarket traders put "3.2%" at 26.5% on "Core PCE YoY - August 2026". Up 8.5%p from yesterday. $4.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.

Most likely right now
3.2%
8.527%
EconomyVol $4.7KTotal volume $6.4KLiquidity $4.4Kin 29 days (Sep 30)
Current probability

Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
3.2%
26.5%
8.5
3.1%
24.0%
8.0
≤3.0%
15.5%
2.0
3.4%
15.0%
17.5
3.3%
13.5%
2.5
3.5%
5.50%
8.0
3.6%+
1.50%
7.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.