How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Most likely right now
0 (0 bps)
▲0.787%
EconomyVol $94KTotal volume $49.5MLiquidity $3.9MComments 117in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
0 (0 bps)
86.6%
▲0.7
1 (25 bps)
9.50%
–
2 (50 bps)
2.55%
▼1.1
3 (75 bps)
0.55%
–
4 (100 bps)
0.35%
–
5 (125 bps)
0.25%
–
6 (150 bps)
0.15%
–
7 (175 bps)
0.15%
–
8 (200 bps)
0.15%
–
9 (225 bps)
0.15%
–
12+ (300+ bps)
0.15%
–
10 (250 bps)
0.05%
–
11 (275 bps)
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
