Deepseek IPO by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2027" at 77.9% on "Deepseek IPO by...?". Up 1.6%p from yesterday. $291 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2027
▲1.678%
EconomyVol $291Total volume $50KLiquidity $5.4Kin 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2027
77.9%
▲1.6
September 30, 2027
63.5%
▼2.0
June 30, 2027
37.0%
▼3.0
March 31, 2027
12.5%
–
December 31, 2026
1.60%
–

Probability over time

December 31, 2027
September 30, 2027
June 30, 2027
March 31, 2027
December 31, 2026
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.