ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
Polymarket traders put "25 bps increase" at 82.0% on "ECB Interest Rates: December 2026". Down 3.5%p from yesterday. $897 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 17.
Most likely right now
25 bps increase
▼3.582%
EconomyVol $897Total volume $50KLiquidity $15Kin 2 months (Dec 17)
Current probability
Oct 31 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
25 bps increase
82.0%
▼3.5
No change
15.0%
▲2.5
50+ bps increase
2.60%
▲1.9
50+ bps decrease
0.65%
–
25 bps decrease
0.65%
–
Probability over time
25 bps increase
No change
50+ bps increase
50+ bps decrease
25 bps decrease
2026-09-15 ~ 2026-10-31 · y-axis %
