ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
Polymarket traders put "25 bps increase" at 57.5% on "ECB Interest Rates: December 2026". Up 23.0%p from yesterday. $12K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 17.
Most likely right now
25 bps increase
▲23.057%
EconomyVol $12KTotal volume $12KLiquidity $6.5Kin 3 months (Dec 17)
Current probability
Sep 16 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
25 bps increase
57.5%
▲23.0
No change
31.5%
▲2.0
25 bps decrease
7.80%
▼7.7
50+ bps increase
5.50%
▼10.5
50+ bps decrease
3.00%
▼12.5
Probability over time
25 bps increase
No change
25 bps decrease
50+ bps increase
50+ bps decrease
2026-09-15 ~ 2026-09-16 · y-axis %
