ECB Interest Rates: September 2026

Most likely right now
25 bps increase
0.595%
EconomyVol $1.6KTotal volume $251KLiquidity $62Kin 16 days (Sep 10)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
25 bps increase
95.0%
0.5
No change
4.15%
0.9
50+ bps increase
0.45%
50+ bps decrease
0.05%
25 bps decrease
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.