EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?

Polymarket traders put "30M+" at 97.0% on "EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?". Up 46.9%p from yesterday. $10K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
30M+
▲46.997%
EconomyVol $10KTotal volume $10KLiquidity $4.3Kin 28 days (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
30M+
97.0%
▲46.9
31M+
92.0%
▲42.0
32M+
76.5%
▲26.5
33M+
60.0%
▲10.0
34M+
37.5%
▼12.5
35M+
26.5%
▼23.5
36M+
17.5%
▼32.5
37M+
1.65%
▼48.4

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.