Fed Decision in October?
Most likely right now
No change
–72%
EconomyVol $35KTotal volume $786KLiquidity $842Kin 2 months (Oct 28)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
No change
71.5%
–
25 bps increase
24.5%
–
25 bps decrease
4.25%
–
50+ bps decrease
1.25%
–
50+ bps increase
1.05%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
