Fed Decision in October?
Polymarket traders put "No change" at 83.5% on "Fed Decision in October?". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $840K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 29.
Most likely right now
No change
▼1.084%
EconomyVol $840KTotal volume $31.5MLiquidity $2.9Min 19 days (Oct 29)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
No change
83.5%
▼1.0
25 bps increase
15.5%
–
25 bps decrease
0.45%
–
50+ bps increase
0.35%
–
50+ bps decrease
0.15%
–
Probability over time
No change
25 bps increase
25 bps decrease
50+ bps increase
50+ bps decrease
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
