Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Most likely right now
Pause–Pause–Pause
–57%
EconomyVol $2.3KTotal volume $723KLiquidity $126Kin 2 months (Oct 28)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Pause–Pause–Pause
57.5%
–
Other
40.5%
–
Pause–Pause–Cut
2.70%
▲0.9
Pause–Cut–Pause
1.00%
–
Pause–Cut–Cut
0.05%
–
Cut–Pause–Pause
0.00%
–
Cut–Pause–Cut
0.00%
–
Cut–Cut–Pause
0.00%
–
Cut–Cut–Cut
0.00%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
