Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Most likely right now
Pause–Pause–Pause
6.564%
EconomyVol $4.1KTotal volume $790KLiquidity $53Kin 22 days (Sep 16)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Pause–Pause–Pause
64.0%
6.5
Other
35.0%
4.5
Pause–Pause–Cut
1.05%
Cut–Pause–Pause
0.00%
0.8
Cut–Pause–Cut
0.00%
Cut–Cut–Pause
0.00%
Cut–Cut–Cut
0.00%
0.5
Pause–Cut–Pause
0.00%
Pause–Cut–Cut
0.00%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.