Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Polymarket traders put "Pause-Hike-Hike" at 55.1% on "Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)". Down 0.9%p from yesterday. $3.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 27.
Most likely right now
Pause-Hike-Hike
▼0.955%
EconomyVol $3.5KTotal volume $242KLiquidity $121Kin 2 months (Jan 27)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Pause-Hike-Hike
55.1%
▼0.9
Pause-Hike-Pause
41.0%
–
Pause-Pause-Hike
3.85%
▲1.4
Pause-Pause-Pause
1.10%
–
Other
0.60%
–
Hike-Pause-Hike
0.00%
▼0.9
Hike-Pause-Pause
0.00%
▼0.8
Hike-Hike-Hike
0.00%
▼0.5
Hike-Hike-Pause
0.00%
▼0.5
Probability over time
Pause-Hike-Hike
Pause-Hike-Pause
Pause-Pause-Hike
Pause-Pause-Pause
Other
Hike-Pause-Hike
2026-10-01 ~ 2026-11-15 · y-axis %
