Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Polymarket traders put "Other" at 20.0% on "Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)". $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 27.

Most likely right now
Other
–20%
EconomyVol $1.2KTotal volume $1.2KLiquidity $24Kin 4 months (Jan 27)
Current probability

Oct 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Other
20.0%
–
Pause-Hike-Pause
18.5%
–
Hike-Pause-Hike
15.0%
–
Pause-Pause-Hike
14.5%
–
Pause-Hike-Hike
12.0%
–
Hike-Pause-Pause
10.0%
–
Pause-Pause-Pause
10.0%
–
Hike-Hike-Pause
9.00%
–
Hike-Hike-Hike
7.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.