Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Polymarket traders put "Hike–Pause–Hike" at 68.5% on "Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $125 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 9.
Most likely right now
Hike–Pause–Hike
▼0.569%
EconomyVol $125Total volume $373KLiquidity $183Kin 2 months (Dec 9)
Current probability
Oct 18 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Hike–Pause–Hike
68.5%
▼0.5
Hike–Pause–Pause
19.5%
▲1.0
Hike–Hike–Hike
9.00%
▼0.5
Hike–Hike–Pause
3.15%
–
Other
1.80%
–
Pause–Pause–Hike
0.00%
▼2.6
Pause–Pause–Pause
0.00%
▼8.0
Pause–Hike–Hike
0.00%
▼2.6
Pause–Hike–Pause
0.00%
▼4.4
Probability over time
Hike–Pause–Hike
Hike–Pause–Pause
Hike–Hike–Hike
Hike–Hike–Pause
Other
Pause–Pause–Hike
2026-09-03 ~ 2026-10-18 · y-axis %
