Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Polymarket traders put "Hike–Pause–Hike" at 25.5% on "Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)". $200 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 9.
Most likely right now
Hike–Pause–Hike
–26%
EconomyVol $200Total volume $225Liquidity $7.2Kin 3 months (Dec 9)
Current probability
Sep 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Hike–Pause–Hike
25.5%
–
Hike–Pause–Pause
25.5%
–
Pause–Hike–Pause
25.5%
–
Hike–Hike–Hike
23.5%
–
Pause–Pause–Pause
14.5%
–
Pause–Pause–Hike
13.5%
–
Pause–Hike–Hike
13.0%
–
Other
13.0%
–
Hike–Hike–Pause
12.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
