Fed rate cut by...?

Most likely right now
December Meeting
0.513%
EconomyVol $17KTotal volume $3.2MLiquidity $303KComments 28in 5 months (Jan 8)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December Meeting
12.5%
0.5
October Meeting
4.45%
September Meeting
1.55%
July Meeting
0.00%
January Meeting
0.00%
0.8
March Meeting
0.00%
April Meeting
0.00%
June Meeting
0.00%
0.7

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.