Fed rate cut by...?
Polymarket traders put "July 2027 Meeting" at 50.5% on "Fed rate cut by...?". $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 29.
Most likely right now
July 2027 Meeting
–51%
EconomyVol $1.4KTotal volume $3.8MLiquidity $200KComments 31in 1.3 years (Jan 29)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
July 2027 Meeting
50.5%
–
June 2027 Meeting
36.5%
–
April 2027 Meeting
32.5%
–
March 2027 Meeting
16.0%
▼1.0
January 2027 Meeting
5.50%
–
December 2026 Meeting
2.65%
–
October 2026 Meeting
0.60%
–
July Meeting
0.00%
–
September 2026 Meeting
0.00%
–
January Meeting
0.00%
▼0.8
March Meeting
0.00%
–
April Meeting
0.00%
–
June Meeting
0.00%
▼0.7
Probability over time
July 2027 Meeting
June 2027 Meeting
April 2027 Meeting
March 2027 Meeting
January 2027 Meeting
December 2026 Meeting
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
