Fed rate hike by...?

Most likely right now
October Meeting
41%
EconomyVol $16KTotal volume $2.4MLiquidity $301Kin 2 months (Oct 29)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October Meeting
40.5%
September Meeting
34.5%
3.0
April Meeting
0.00%
June Meeting
0.00%
0.5
July Meeting
0.00%
22.4

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.