First to list tokenized stocks in the US?
Polymarket traders put "Robinhood" at 37.5% on "First to list tokenized stocks in the US?". Up 4.5%p from yesterday. $2.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Robinhood
▲4.538%
CryptoVol $2.6KTotal volume $105KLiquidity $10Kin 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Robinhood
37.5%
▲4.5
No listing by December 31, 2027
20.8%
–
Coinbase
14.3%
▼5.3
Kraken
9.20%
▼6.2
Gemini
8.95%
–
Probability over time
Robinhood
No listing by December 31, 2027
Coinbase
Kraken
Gemini
2026-09-19 ~ 2026-11-03 · y-axis %
