France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?
Polymarket traders put "France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?" at 5.5%. $238 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?
–6%
EconomyVol $238Total volume $238Liquidity $9.0KComments 1in 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 22 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?
5.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
