GDP growth in 2026

Polymarket traders put "2.0–2.5%" at 51.0% on "GDP growth in 2026". There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 29.

Most likely right now
2.0–2.5%
–51%
EconomyVol -Total volume $88KLiquidity $6.5Kin 4 months (Jan 29)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
2.0–2.5%
51.0%
–
>2.5%
48.9%
–
1.5–2.0%
1.75%
–
<0.5%
0.25%
–
0.5–1.0%
0.25%
–
1.0–1.5%
0.25%
–

Probability over time

2.0–2.5%
>2.5%
1.5–2.0%
<0.5%
0.5–1.0%
1.0–1.5%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.