Gemini 4.0 released by...?
Polymarket traders put "November 30" at 98.4% on "Gemini 4.0 released by...?". Down 0.7%p from yesterday. $69K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
November 30
▼0.798%
TechVol $69KTotal volume $1.4MLiquidity $55KComments 38in 2 months (Dec 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
November 30
98.4%
▼0.7
October 31
91.0%
▲5.5
October 23
82.0%
▼0.5
October 16
59.0%
▼4.0
October 15
58.5%
▲3.0
October 14
56.0%
▲2.0
October 13
52.0%
▲7.5
October 12
32.5%
▲20.9
October 10
2.35%
▼6.3
October 9
1.15%
▼2.3
Probability over time
November 30
October 31
October 23
October 16
October 15
October 14
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
