Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Google" at 42.5% on "Which company has best AI model end of 2026?". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $32K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 15 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
Google
▲1.043%
TechVol $32KTotal volume $2.4MLiquidity $1.2Min 3 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Google
42.5%
▲1.0
Anthropic
41.5%
▼3.0
OpenAI
6.45%
–
Meta
2.10%
▼0.7
xAI
1.55%
–
Alibaba
0.65%
–
Moonshot
0.55%
–
Z.ai
0.45%
–
DeepSeek
0.45%
–
Mistral
0.25%
–
Microsoft
0.15%
–
Amazon
0.15%
–
Baidu
0.15%
–
ByteDance
0.15%
–
Meituan
0.10%
–
Probability over time
Google
Anthropic
OpenAI
Meta
xAI
Alibaba
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
