Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Most likely right now
Anthropic
–70%
TechVol $6.4KTotal volume $782KLiquidity $583Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Anthropic
69.5%
–
xAI
12.0%
▲0.7
Google
7.50%
–
OpenAI
6.50%
▼1.0
Meta
3.45%
▼0.6
Moonshot
1.05%
–
DeepSeek
0.85%
–
Alibaba
0.75%
–
Z.ai
0.70%
–
ByteDance
0.35%
–
Baidu
0.25%
–
Mistral
0.20%
–
Meituan
0.15%
–
Microsoft
0.15%
–
Amazon
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
