GitHub.com critical incident by...?

Polymarket traders put "September 15" at 62.5% on "GitHub.com critical incident by...?". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. $243 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.

Most likely right now
September 15
2.563%
TechVol $243Total volume $243Liquidity $266in 17 days (Sep 30)
Current probability

Sep 14 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 15
62.5%
2.5
September 30
58.0%
3.5

Probability over time

September 15
September 30
02550751009/39/14
2026-09-03 ~ 2026-09-14 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.