Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Polymarket traders put "Hodge Conjecture" at 35.5% on "Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Hodge Conjecture
▼1.536%
TechVol $1.1KTotal volume $276KLiquidity $53KComments 1in 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Hodge Conjecture
35.5%
▼1.5
No solution by Dec 31, 2027
35.0%
▲0.5
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
16.5%
–
Yang-Mills
9.75%
–
P versus NP
2.00%
–
Riemann Hypothesis
1.85%
–

Probability over time

Hodge Conjecture
No solution by Dec 31, 2027
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
Yang-Mills
P versus NP
Riemann Hypothesis
02550751009/109/189/2610/410/1210/2010/25
2026-09-10 ~ 2026-10-25 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.