GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 46.0% on "GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?". Down 4.0%p from yesterday. $709 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
October 31
▼4.046%
TechVol $709Total volume $709Liquidity $273in 22 days (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
46.0%
▼4.0
October 15
9.50%
▼40.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.