How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "5.1%" at 100.0% on "How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?". Up 29.9%p from yesterday. $13K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
5.1%
▲29.9100%
EconomyVol $13KTotal volume $954KLiquidity $37Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
5.1%
100.0%
▲29.9
5.3%
100.0%
▲14.4
4.5%
100.0%
▲11.2
4.6%
100.0%
▲4.9
4.8%
100.0%
▲7.9
5.0%
100.0%
▲4.7
5.2%
100.0%
▲11.2
4.4%
100.0%
▼1.5
4.3%
100.0%
▲1.7
5.4%
61.0%
▼8.5
5.5%
42.4%
–
5.7%
17.4%
▼2.1
6.0%
5.95%
▼1.8
Probability over time
5.1%
5.3%
4.5%
4.6%
4.8%
5.0%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
