How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "4.90%" at 50.5% on "How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $4.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
4.90%
▲1.051%
EconomyVol $4.5KTotal volume $4.5KLiquidity $5.3Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
4.90%
50.5%
▲1.0
5.10%
47.5%
▼2.0
5.00%
40.0%
▼9.5
5.20%
30.0%
▼19.5
5.30%
28.5%
▼21.0
5.40%
19.5%
▼30.0
5.50%
7.50%
▼42.0
5.65%
7.50%
▼42.0
Probability over time
4.90%
5.10%
5.00%
5.20%
5.30%
5.40%
2026-10-02 ~ 2026-10-03 · y-axis %
