How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in November?
Polymarket traders put "4.68%" at 73.0% on "How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in November?". Up 23.0%p from yesterday. $1.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
4.68%
▲23.073%
EconomyVol $1.0KTotal volume $1.0KLiquidity $300in 27 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
4.68%
73.0%
▲23.0
4.72%
52.0%
▲1.5
4.88%
37.5%
▼13.0
4.84%
37.0%
▼13.5
5.02%
36.5%
▼14.0
4.80%
36.0%
▼14.5
4.92%
35.5%
▼15.0
4.76%
35.0%
▼11.5
4.97%
30.0%
▼20.5
Probability over time
4.68%
4.72%
4.88%
4.84%
5.02%
4.80%
2026-11-03 ~ 2026-11-04 · y-axis %
