How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Polymarket traders put "5.40%" at 100.0% on "How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?". Up 28.4%p from yesterday. $8.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
5.40%
▲28.4100%
EconomyVol $8.1KTotal volume $260KLiquidity $16KComments 2in 2 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Oct 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
5.40%
100.0%
▲28.4
5.45%
100.0%
▲24.4
5.50%
100.0%
▲4.1
5.55%
100.0%
▲21.9
5.60%
100.0%
▲3.4
5.65%
100.0%
▲12.4
5.70%
37.0%
▼19.5
5.80%
23.1%
▼10.2
5.90%
15.5%
▼6.0
6.00%
4.95%
▼8.7

Probability over time

5.40%
5.45%
5.50%
5.55%
5.60%
5.65%
02550751009/49/139/2210/110/1010/1910/23
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-10-23 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.