How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "5.40%" at 62.5% on "How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $2.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
5.40%
▼1.063%
EconomyVol $2.9KTotal volume $2.9KLiquidity $5.0Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Sep 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
5.40%
62.5%
▼1.0
5.45%
57.5%
▼3.0
5.50%
51.5%
▲0.5
5.55%
44.5%
▼5.5
5.60%
37.5%
▼12.5
5.65%
33.5%
▼16.5
5.70%
28.5%
▼21.5
5.80%
21.5%
▼28.5
6.00%
14.5%
▼23.5
Probability over time
5.40%
5.45%
5.50%
5.55%
5.60%
5.65%
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-09-08 · y-axis %
