How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in November?

Polymarket traders put "5.45%" at 54.5% on "How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in November?". $264 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
5.45%
–55%
EconomyVol $264Total volume $264Liquidity $135in 27 days (Dec 1)
Current probability

Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
5.45%
54.5%
–
5.42%
51.5%
–
5.53%
51.0%
–
5.57%
50.5%
–
5.69%
50.5%
–
5.49%
49.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.