How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
Polymarket traders put "5.30%" at 67.5% on "How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?". Up 6.5%p from yesterday. $165 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.
Most likely right now
5.30%
▲6.568%
EconomyVol $165Total volume $165Liquidity $3.8Kin 22 days (Sep 30)
Current probability
Sep 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
5.30%
67.5%
▲6.5
5.33%
53.5%
▲2.5
5.36%
46.5%
▼3.5
5.39%
37.5%
▼12.5
5.42%
28.5%
▼20.5
5.45%
22.5%
▼27.5
5.50%
16.5%
▼33.5
5.55%
14.5%
▼35.5
5.60%
12.5%
▼24.0
Probability over time
5.30%
5.33%
5.36%
5.39%
5.42%
5.45%
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-09-08 · y-axis %
